The Mindset Responsible For Making You Unbeatable
In the modern education system, failure is a sin.
You can study until your head feels like exploding, yet the system still treats anything less than the top grade as a personal flaw. A low score becomes a moral failure or more like “not being good enough.” You get zero reward for trying after a failure.
This is not by accident. When children learn that mistakes are dangerous, they grow into adults who fear risks, avoid trying out, and outsource their direction to another authority. As a result, they end up producing dependence. And this is not because people lack talent. But because they have been trained to treat failure as fatal.
But in the real world, things work a little different:
Losing is the fee you pay for winning.
Every mistake powers your mental model. Every loss sharpens your aim. And every failure builds the cognitive “muscle fibers” that make future success more likely. Research on learning theory says the same thing: feedback loops accelerate mastery. And feedback only exists when something goes wrong.
Now picture this.
You’ve never driven a car. You don’t know which pedal does what. You feel nervous AF.
There is only one way to learn: you must sit behind the wheel.
You start the engine. Your hands are shaking. You start moving. A few seconds later, you a hear a big sound while hitting the tree next to your driveway.
Embarrassing? Yes. But something changed.
Now you understand speed. You understand brakes. You also learned how much to turn the steering wheel to avoid a possible hit next time. One failure rewired your brain with the information no textbook could do.
And that’s what this graph tells you:
Trying something out increases your chance of winning, even when the first outcome is a loss.
Each try reduces your risk of failing. Each failure upgrades your accuracy. And over time, the curve bends toward success not because luck improves, but because you do.
The math of progress is simple:
More tries → more data
More data → better strategy
Better strategy → higher possibility of success
Each additional failure adds up to your chance of winning. And when you are persistent, you reach a level where you sit at a 99% chance of winning.
Schools may have punished you for even one failure. But the real world extracts the lesson from each failure and adds it to the supplement cup you drink from before your next try.
The entire point of this comes down to one sentence:
Your chance of winning increases only when you try, even when you fail the first time.
So if you’re stuck at starting something, anything:
Make the first step so small it’s impossible to avoid. A sport. Learning a new skill. Wanting to write. (You can start writing by using The Short-Form Writer. It can help you scale much faster as a beginner.)
If you fail at your first try, find out why.
Try again with the information you got.
After the second attempt, your possibility of success is already far higher than when you began.
With each cycle, your fear goes down, and the chance of winning goes up.
You don’t become ready to win by avoiding loss.
You become ready by surviving it, studying it, and iterating on it.
Remember that.
— Sami
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There is an obverse to this.
Most humans will try something, fail, then make a bad correction to fix the mistake, fail again, make another bad correction to fix the second bad correction, repeat until the entire project falls apart, then start over. This happens not only on the individual level, but on society and indeed civilization level.
Look at human history. One failed civilization after another until the present. We're barely out of the last one (WWII).
And now we're headed for the biggest civilization fail of all human history - WWIII.
Reminds me of Stewart Townsend's line in the movie "The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen" where, as Dorian Gray, he says: "I've lived long enough to know that empires crumble. There are no exceptions."